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Introduction to Financial Modelling of Public-Private Partnership Projects

Introduction to Financial Modelling of Public-Private Partnership Projects

Under the UN Development Account project entitled "Towards integrated national financing framework (INFF)," UNCTAD, in collaboration with the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) and the Ministry of Finance and National Planning of Zambia (MFNP), is organizing an online capacity-building course on Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) for Zambia. Building on the previous workshops held in-person in Zambia in February 2024, this online training course is designed to enhance the technical knowledge and practical skills of Zambian government officials involved in PPPs, particularly staff from the PPP Unit of the Ministry of Finance and National Planning, as well as representatives from contracting authorities.

The course aims to further strengthen institutional capacity by providing targeted training on the structuring and implementation of well-prepared and sustainable PPP projects, with a focus on transport projects. In particular, the course will focus on the development and use of financial models for PPP projects, taking into account the roles and responsibilities of the PPP Unit and contracting authorities in Zambia. Additionally, the course will explore how the Government of Zambia could benefit from establishing a project preparation facility to support the development of sound PPP projects.

The course is delivered in five online sessions of two hours each. The sessions will combine theoretical discussions with practical, hands-on exercises to ensure that participants acquire both conceptual knowledge and practical skills. The course will also include interactive exercises to develop and analyze financial models for PPP transport projects.

By deepening participants' understanding of financial modeling, risk management, and project structuring, this training will contribute to the Government of Zambia’s ability to design and implement PPPs projects that are financially viable, environmentally sustainable, and socially inclusive.

Objectives

The main objective of this capacity-building activity is to build on previous activities and enhance the institutional capacity of the Government of Zambia on how to structure and implement well-prepared and sustainable PPPs projects. The activity will focus on how to develop and use financial models of PPPs projects considering the roles and responsibilities of the PPP Unit and contracting authorities of the Government of Zambia. An additional session will discuss how the Government of Zambia could benefit from creating a project preparation facility to support the development of sound PPPs projects.

Methodology

The course will blend theory with practical/hands-on exercises and will be delivered in 5 online sessions (2h each). For sessions 3 and 4 (Thu and Fri) it is expected that each participant will have access to Microsoft Excel, which will be used to build an example of financial model of a PPP transport project.

Contents

SESSION 1

Review of key concepts 
PPPs concepts 
Financial analysis concepts

SESSION 2 

The financial model – theory
Functions of the financial model 
Model inputs, model outputs and sensitivity analysis 
Incorporating risk management and impacts on legal structuring 

SESSION 3

The financial model – hands-on exercise (part 1) 
Building a financial model for a PPP project using Excel 
Inserting inputs, calculating outputs and evaluating results of sensitivity analysis

SESSION 4

The financial model – hands-on exercise (part 2) 
Using the financial model developed on session 3 on a PPP road project 

SESSION 5

Wrap-up session 
Discussion of results from hands-on exercises 
Developing sound PPP projects: the role of Project Preparation Facilities 
Next steps in capacity-building 
Feedback on the course

Target Audience

Government officials of Zambia involved in preparing and implementing PPP projects, particularly staff from the PPP Unit of the Ministry of Finance and Planning, as well as representatives from contracting authorities.

Prerequisites

Participation in the previous capacity-building workshop “Foundations of PPPs with a Focus on Transport and Logistics Infrastructure” organized by UNCTAD in February 2024, or prior knowledge of public-private partnerships.